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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<title>Comparative Autocracy Network</title>
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<h1>Comparative Autocracy Network</h1>
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<main>
<div class="team">
<div class="member">
<div class="profile-photo">
<img src="https://raw.githubusercontent.com/semuhi/semuhi.github.io/master/assets/img/prof_pic.jpg" alt="Semuhi">
</div>
<div class="profile-content">
<h2>Semuhi Sinanoglu</h2>
<p>Semuhi is a researcher at the German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS). He completed his Ph.D. in Political Science and at the University of Toronto. His academic research is about how autocrats politically control the elites and generate support for repression in polarized environments.
He employs computational and experimental methods for his research. His co-authored papers have been published in high-impact academic journals such as Comparative Politics and Sociological Methods & Research. He is also the co‑founder of a Toronto‑based political risk consultancy company, which leverages big data to forecast protests and elections.
He is a graduate associate at POSTCOR Lab. Previously, he was a Trudeau Centre Fellow at the Munk School, a resident fellow at the Jeanne Sauvé Foundation, and a Regional Manager at the Digital Society Project. Prior to this doctoral studies, he co‑founded two social impact initiatives for youth empowerment.
One based in Montreal advocated for youth inclusion in the design of smart cities. The other, based in Istanbul, mobilized more than 30 stakeholder organizations in six countries across the MENA region to foster youth employment in the region. </p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="member">
<div class="profile-photo">
<img src="https://salamalsaadi.weebly.com/uploads/1/4/3/2/143251625/published/m.jpeg" alt="Salam Alsaadi">
</div>
<div class="profile-content">
<h2>Salam Alsaadi</h2>
<p> Salam is a PhD candidate in Political Science at the University of Toronto and a Fellow at the Trudeau Centre for Peace, Conflict and Justice (2023-2024).
His research examines authoritarian politics, democratization, and contentious politics with a focus on the Middle East and North Africa. His dissertation examines the survival of minority-dominated autocracies, utilizing a mixed-methods approach. He has conducted fieldwork in Sudan, Bahrain, and Lebanon. His research has been recently published in Comparative Politics. He is the recipient of the Joseph-Armand Bombardier Canada Scholarship and the 2020 Canada Graduate Scholarship to Honour Nelson Mandela.
Prior to his doctoral studies, he worked as a journalist in Syria and Lebanon and has written for prominent local and international outlets, including the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, the Institute for War & Peace Reporting, Al-Araby Al-Jadeed, Almodon, and Al-Arab.</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="member">
<div class="profile-photo">
<img src="https://static.wixstatic.com/media/842e11_908156592e994564b50075cb4f396977~mv2.jpg/v1/crop/x_22,y_0,w_1294,h_1688/fill/w_575,h_750,al_c,q_85,usm_0.66_1.00_0.01,enc_auto/IMG_2543_edited.jpg" alt="Jae Park">
</div>
<div class="profile-content">
<h2>Jae Hyun Park</h2>
<p>Jae is a PhD Candidate in Political Science at the University of Toronto and a Graduate Associate
at the Postcor Lab. His dissertation project examines the ongoing civil war in Myanmar to understand why
some rebel groups establish large businesses, while continuing to fight the state during civil wars.
He is also interested in the political legacies of civil war violence in post-war societies,
political economy of civil war, and mixed-methods approach to research. His research has been supported by
the Social Sciences and the Humanities Research Council of Canada (2022-2023) and the MINDS Scholarship
Initiative by the Department of National Defence of Canada (2022-2023).
</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="member">
<div class="profile-photo">
<img src="https://raw.githubusercontent.com/semuhi/ca-network/main/amelie.jpg" alt="Amelie Tolvin">
</div>
<div class="profile-content">
<h2>Amelie Tolvin</h2>
<p> Amelie Tolvin is pursuing her Ph.D. in Political Science at the University of Toronto.
Her research focuses on the creation and maintenance of loyalty amongst security services in authoritarian regimes,
particularly in the context of contentious politics. She has previously researched protest repression in Belarus and the Kremlin’s war rhetoric using both
quantitative and qualitative research methods.
</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="member">
<div class="profile-photo">
<img src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/D5603AQFnQt2NWPnSnw/profile-displayphoto-shrink_800_800/0/1682186071531?e=1704326400&v=beta&t=ECb_90ykoyXRdoAZBA70JC7AIeJuLYpZbp-4tKWrETE" alt="Sahib Jafarov">
</div>
<div class="profile-content">
<h2>Sahib Jafarov</h2>
<p>Sahib Jafarov is a Ph.D. candidate in Political Science at the University of Toronto.
His research focuses on regime changes and elite behavior in the post-Soviet region. He has extensively studied various ethnic and religious groups in Azerbaijan using qualitative and quantitative research methods.
Previously, he served as a visiting scholar at the Elliott School of International Affairs at George Washington University,
a regional researcher at the Asian Development Bank, and a senior researcher at the Center for Strategic Studies in Azerbaijan.
He has been awarded the Central Asia and Azerbaijan research fellowship in the USA and the Ibn Khaldun fellowship in Turkey. </p>
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<!-- Our Research Slide-in Panel -->
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<h2> 2023 </h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://doi-org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/10.1080/19331681.2023.2183301"> Out of sight, out of mind: The impact of lockdown measures on sentiment towards refugees. Journal of Information Technology & Politics (March): 1-10 (with Amir Abdul Reda and Amine Aboussalah).</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www-ingentaconnect-com.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/content/cuny/cp/2023/00000055/00000004/art00006"> International Competitive Involvement during Democratic Transitions and State Repression. Comparative Politics.</a></li>
<li><a href="https://osf.io/zqcyt/"> Taming the paper tiger? A political economy of support for the repression of the business elite. </a></li>
<li><a href="https://www-cambridge-org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/core/journals/nationalities-papers/article/why-the-2020-belarusian-protests-failed-to-oust-lukashenka/939A1CFB3B038897D740BD1CC2CC89C8?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=copy_link&utm_source=bookmark"> Why the 2020 Belarusian Protests Failed to Oust Lukashenka. Nationalities (June) (with Lucan Way). </a></li>
</ul>
<h2> 2022 </h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www-ingentaconnect-com.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/content/cuny/cp/2022/00000054/00000004/art00009;jsessionid=2tmvwvakp99lp.x-ic-live-01"> Containing ethnic conflict: Repression, cooptation, and identity politics. Comparative Politics 54(4): 765-86 (with Ceren Belge). </a></li>
</ul>
<h2> 2021 </h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://doi-org.myaccess.library.utoronto.ca/10.1177/0049124120986197"> Mobilizing the masses: Measuring resource mobilization on Twitter. Sociological Methods & Research (February): 1-40 (with Amir Abdul Reda and Mohamed Abdalla).</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354914015_Divided_at_Home_Divided_Abroad"> Divided at home, divided abroad? Affective polarization and political tolerance among migrants (with Selin Kepenek).</a></li>
</ul>
</div>
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<button id="open-panel" class="open-panel">Our Research</button>
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